"It is widely believed that a good principal is the key to a
successful school. No Child Left Behind encouraged the replacement of
the principal in persistently low-performing schools, and the Obama
administration has made this a requirement for schools undergoing
federally funded turnarounds. Foundations have invested millions over
the past decade in New Leaders for New Schools, an organization that
recruits nontraditional principal candidates and prepares them for the
challenges of school leadership. And the recently launched George W.
Bush Institute is making the principalship a focus of its activities.
Yet until very recently there was little rigorous research demonstrating
the importance of principal quality for student outcomes, much less the
specific practices that cause some principals to be more successful
than others. As is often the case in education policy discussions, we
have relied on anecdotes instead.
This study provides new evidence on the importance of school
leadership by estimating individual principals’ contributions to growth
in student achievement. Our approach is quite similar to studies that
measure teachers’ “value added” to student achievement, except that the
calculation is applied to the entire school. Specifically, we measure
how average gains in achievement, adjusted for individual student and
school characteristics, differ across principals—both in different
schools and in the same school at different points in time. From this,
we are able to determine how much effectiveness varies from one
principal to the next.
Our results indicate that highly effective principals raise the
achievement of a typical student in their schools by between two and
seven months of learning in a single school year; ineffective principals
lower achievement by the same amount. These impacts are somewhat
smaller than those associated with having a highly effective teacher.
But teachers have a direct impact on only those students in their
classroom; differences in principal quality affect all students in a
given school. We also investigate one widely discussed mechanism through
which principals affect student achievement: the management of teacher
transitions. Importantly, because high teacher turnover can be
associated with both improvement and decline in the quality of
instruction, the amount of turnover on its own provides little insight
into the wisdom of a principal’s personnel decisions. We confirm,
however, that teachers who leave schools with the most-successful
principals are much more likely to have been among the less-effective
teachers in their school than teachers leaving schools run by
less-successful principals. The final component of our analysis
considers the dynamics of the principal labor market, comparing the
effectiveness of principals who move on to those who stay in their
initial schools. Constrained by salary inertia and the historical
absence of good performance measures, the principal labor market does
not appear to weed out those principals who are least successful in
raising student achievement. This is especially true in schools serving
disadvantaged students. This is troubling, as the demands of leading
such schools, including the need to attract and retain high-quality
teachers despite less desirable working conditions, may amplify the
importance of having an effective leader."
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